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N. of bottles sold after 5th year

Dear all, this is one of my first cases, and I am a bit confused. 
All is clear until the "selling the investment bottles" part in question 1: here, it says that the client shall sell the initial investment wines, so the 120 bottles from the initial investment + the 72 bottles from the first investment. I don't quite understand how we decided to sell precisely this quantity (i.e., no more or less). Is it because we always want to have a stock of bottles available? And if so, how much in the stock do we want to keep?

The rest of the calculations are straightforward. I just don't understand how we reached this first conclusion about selling 192 bottles after 5 years.

 

Thank you very much in advance!

Francesca

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on Oct 04, 2024
+600 Interviews | Free 30-min alignment call | Ex-Principal & Member of the Recruiting task force | 360° Coaching

Ciao Francesca!

From the information you shared, it seems that the decision to sell 192 bottles (120 from the initial investment and 72 from the first investment) after 5 years is based on what the case presents. If the case explicitly states these numbers in the question itself, there's no need to question why these specific numbers were chosen - it's simply part of the scenario you're working with.

However, if these numbers (192 bottles) are only mentioned in the answer and not as part of the question, then understanding the reasoning might require seeing the entire case. In that situation, I would need more information to clarify exactly how these numbers were calculated or chosen.

The logic for selling 192 bottles could stem from:

  1. Investment Maturation: The 120 bottles from the initial investment and 72 from the first investment total 192 bottles, and after 5 years, they may have reached their optimal selling point (either because the wine has matured or the market conditions are favorable).
  2. No Mention of Reserve Stock: Unless the case explicitly mentions keeping a stock or reserving some bottles for future sales, it makes sense to assume the strategy is to sell all the invested bottles after 5 years.

In summary, if the numbers are provided directly in the case, there’s no need to overanalyze why they were chosen. If they are only mentioned as part of the answer, then I'd need to see the full context to better explain how they arrived at 192 bottles being sold after the 5th year.

If you need any further help, don't hesitate to reach out. I always offer a 30-min free consultation. 

Kind regards and best of luck!

Kairavee

on Oct 04, 2024
Dear Kairavee, Thank you very much for your kind answer and your time! My question regards the following case: https://www.preplounge.com/en/management-consulting-cases/candidate-led-usual-style/beginner/oliver-wyman-case-setting-up-a-wine-cellar-80?source=forum-details-sidebar from Oliver Wymann interview. Thank you again in advance! Francesca
on Oct 05, 2024
+600 Interviews | Free 30-min alignment call | Ex-Principal & Member of the Recruiting task force | 360° Coaching
Hi Francesca, Thanks for sharing the case, now I can give you a more accurate answer! Looking at it, the number of bottles sold derives from the investment strategy which is given in the case. The case says that they hold on to each year's batch of "investment" wine for exactly five years. Hence, after the fifth year, the client sells the first 120 bottles purchased during the initial investment, as well as the first batch of 72 bottles purchased in the first year. This totals 192 bottles sold at the end of year 5, hence all bottles that have reached their five-year appreciation cycle. Hope that helps, have a nice Saturday, Kairavee
Shane
Coach
on Oct 04, 2024
ex-BCG London Principal 7yrs | 1st & 2nd round interviewer (150+) | CV screener | Recruiting mentor | LBS MBA

Hi Francesca, to go beyond what a chatbot can offer - the 192 bottles is directly grounded in the case data: namely, that investment wines are always sold after 5 years (which is a data point you'd have to ask of the interviewer to understand the cash flows of the whole scheme). So to be sure - at the end of year 5, the wine you have to sell includes the up-front investment (120 bottles) + the bottles acquired during the first year (72 bottles).

on Oct 04, 2024
Dear Sean, thank you very much for your answer, it's more clear now. This means that at the end of year 6 he/she will sell the wines from yr 2 and so on, is my understanding correct now? Thank you so much again!
Shane
Coach
on Oct 04, 2024
ex-BCG London Principal 7yrs | 1st & 2nd round interviewer (150+) | CV screener | Recruiting mentor | LBS MBA
Yes that's right :] (In years 6+, you're at a steady state of selling the 72 bottles bought 5 years prior, and buying 72 new bottles)
Alessa
Coach
on Oct 04, 2024
xMcKinsey & Company | xBCG | +200 individual & group coachings | feel free to schedule a 15 min intro call for free

Hi Francesca, 

Regarding the 192 bottles - here's what I think: 

  1. Initial Investment and Growth: You started with 120 bottles as your initial investment and later acquired 72 more bottles (possibly from reinvesting or as part of a second round of investment).
  2. Timing the Sale: After 5 years, the decision to sell those specific 192 bottles likely comes down to timing. Wine investments are often sold after they've aged for a while, increasing in value. After 5 years, these 192 bottles may have reached their optimal value, making it a good time to sell and realize profits.
  3. Why Not Sell Everything?: You might not sell everything because you still want to maintain a stock of bottles to continue benefiting from future appreciation. Keeping a portion of your collection ensures you're still invested in wine for the long term.
  4. Stock Management: The specific number of bottles to sell (192) might have been chosen based on the value growth and your investment strategy—balancing between realizing profits and maintaining a good stock for future sales.

In short, the decision to sell 192 bottles after 5 years seems to be based on the idea of maximizing profits while keeping some bottles in reserve for continued growth.

I hope this helps clear things up!

Best Alessa :)

on Oct 04, 2024
Dear Alessa, Thank you very much for your answer! Although the "qualitative" rationale behind seems quite clear to me, i still cannot "quantitatively" grasp we why are not selling three years worth of bottles then. The case is from an Oliver Wymann interview: https://www.preplounge.com/en/management-consulting-cases/candidate-led-usual-style/beginner/oliver-wyman-case-setting-up-a-wine-cellar-80?source=forum-details-sidebar. Thank you so much again, Francesca
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