Hello everyone,
I just finished my first round BCG interview, which was surprisingly short. I know that usually the interview lasts about 15-20min for the fit questions and around 20min for the case study. However, they only asked me to introduce myself and then we started the case straight up. It was a market sizing question and had to estimate the market size (in annual revenue in the UK) of artificial arms and legs. I estimated the number of people who would use these considering the UK population, then focusing on a portion of that population due to the age range, number of disabled individuals, accessibility to hospitals, number of ppl who can afford the devices and penetration rate. And estimated the price by dividing into simple, medium and complex (with motors, control system, etc) mechanism arms and legs. When I was going to finish my final step of calculation of computing price times volume, my interviewer asked me if this approach was good and asked me identify if there were any statistics that were difficult to obtain. I answered that the UK population, age range were certain because of the government and agencies doing national surveys, etc, accessibility to hospitals can be estimated from patient registry, people who can afford could also be by looking at the national average wage etc but penetration rate and number of disabled people were more challenging as many are reluctant to be registered as disabled since it is a sensitive matter and some other reasons.
Then he asked me if I could think of another way of estimating so I said that I can look into the number of companies, research labs, startups working in this domain, then those who actually commercialise products, then estimate the portion of the artifical arms and legs in their product portfolio then get the average number of orders, divide by the number of years the product is being used for as generally artificial arms and legs are durable so last for many years and then finally multiply by the price of the product (I've skipped a few steps for the sake of this post's length). And we finished the interview with some Q&A where I asked him some questions about his work at BCG, etc
I believe I was pretty clear in my answers and quickly changed my framework after my interviewer's feedback. But what are my chances of getting to the 2nd round based on the fact that I had to change my approach? Is it definitely a rejection?
Thanks for your answers in advance